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Friday, 23 June 2017

USD/CAD H4 Analysis









Since the wave B peak was established at the level of 1.3792, the pair of USD / CAD penetrates the lower long-term channel area and the nature of these falls is impulsive. The first two major down moves are already made, marked in blue. The remaining waves are still developing and if the resistance level will not be knocked out before next wave down,  the impulse counter is still validated. 
The alternative scenario assumes a threefold decline in ABC instead of impulsive, which means that the price is already slowing down.

More details and charts of different currency pairs including the cryptanalyst on my profile at Tradingview.com are available under the link below.
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Od czasu ustanowienia szczytu fali B na poziomie 1.3792, para USD/CAD penetruje dolne rejony długotrwałego kanału wzostowego a charakter tych spadków jest impulsywny. Pierwsze dwie, główne fale spadkowe są już wykonane, oznaczone zostały kolorem niebieskim. Pozostałe fale są nadal rozwijane i oile poziom oporu nie zostanie wcześniej wybity, o tyle licznik impulsywny jest cały czas potwierdzony. 
Scenariusz alternatywny zakłada trójfalowy spadek ABC zamiast impulsywnego, co oznacza wcześniejsze wyhamowanie ceny. 


Więcej szczegółów i wykresów różnych par walutowych, w tym kryptowalut na moim profilu na Tradingview.com dostepne jest pod linkiem poniżej.







Trading plan for 23/06/2017








Trading plan for 23/06/2017: 
A quiet Asian trading session went without any publications or important events. The dollar weakened against all currencies from the G10 basket, but the change did not exceed 0.2%. The risky currencies are leading now: AUD (+0.19%), GBP (+0.16%) and NZD (+0.15%). Besides, the Asian stock market posted some modest changes, the Nikkei 225 is up 0.1%, and the Hang Seng oscillates around yesterday's closing price. The Shanghai Composite is down 0.6%. 
On Friday 23rd of June, the event calendar is quite busy with some important news releases. The series of PMI reports from Japan, France Germany and Eurozone will be published in the morning. Later on, Canada will unveil the Consumer Price Index data and the US will present another set of PMI reports and the New Home Sales data.

Thursday, 22 June 2017

EUR/USD H2 Analysis









The EUR / USD pair corrective cycle has not yet been completed and evolves towards a complex correction of WXY or even WXYXXZ pattern. After breakout below the support at 1.1111, the target level will be at the level of 1.1075. This scenario is supported by the current market situation, that is slightly overbought and this situation is indicated by the oscillator on the H2 interval.
Once the correction is complete, further increases are possible.

Only a lack of gap fill after the presidential election in France can be alarming. Typically, before the big up/down move, the market fills the closest gap.


More details and charts of different currency pairs including the cryptanalyst on my profile at Tradingview.com are available under the link below.
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Cykl korekcyjny na parze EUR/USD jeszcze nie został zakończony i ewoluuje on w kierunku korekty złożonej WXY lub nawet WXYXXZ. Po wybiciu wsparcie na poziomie 1.1111, poziomem docelowym będzie poziom 1.1075. Scenariusz taki jest wparty obecna sytuacją rynkową, czyli dość dużym wykupieniem rynku wskazywanym przez oscylator na interwale H2. 
Po zakończeniu korekty możliwe są dalsze wzrosty. 

Niepokoić może jedynie niedomknięta luka wzrostowa po wyborach prezydenckich w Francji. Zazwyczaj przed dużym ruchem w górę/dół, rynek domyka najbliższe luki.


Więcej szczegółów i wykresów różnych par walutowych, w tym kryptowalut na moim profilu na Tradingview.com dostepne jest pod linkiem poniżej.



Bitcoin BTC/USD H4 Analysis








From the peak at 2973, the Bitcoin course counted a multi-cent price stop that stopped at 2111. At the moment, the rebound to the 2500 level is corrective, but very large volumetric voltages may suggest further slow increases. Only picks below 1845 change the temporary layout of forces on the market more bear than bull.
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Od szczytu na poziomie 2973 kurs Bitcoina zliczył kilkuprocenty zjazd cenowy, który zatrzymał się na pzoiomie 2111. W chwili obecnej odbicie do poziomu 2500 wygląda na korekcyjne, ale bardzo duze volumeny stopujące mogą sugerować dalsze, powolne wzrosty. Tylko wybice poniżej 1845 zmienia tymczasowy układ sił na rynku na bardziej niedźwiedzi niż byczy. 


Więcej szczegółów i wykresów różnych par walutowych, w tym kryptowalut na moim profilu na Tradingview.com dostepne jest pod tym linkiem:


USD/PLN H4 Analysis








Despite the FED's decision to raise the interest rate from 1.00% to 1.25%, the USD / PLN is still below the key level of 3.8000, which is a pass for further gains on that pair and perhaps even a break from the brown down channel.

More details and charts of different currency pairs including the cryptanalyst on my Tradingview.com profile are available under the link below.
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Pomimo decyzji FED o podniesieniu stopy procentowej z 1.00% do 1.25% cena USD/PLN nadal znajduje się poniżej kluczowego poziomu 3.8000, który stanowi przepustke do dalszych wzrostów na tej parze a może nawet do wybicia z brązowgo kanału spadkowego.


Więcej szczegółów i wykresów różnych par walutowych, w tym kryptowalut na moim profilu na Tradingview.com dostepne jest pod linkiem poniżej:




USD/JPY H2 Analysis








The USD / JPY pair after the five-wave growth impulse is still in the green wave 2 correction cycle. The first part of this cycle could already be completed at 111.00, however, further declines could not be made until 37% Fibo at 110.64. At the end of the correction, the USD / JPY should dynamically rebound above the peak of the first wave at 111.79. USD / JPY after the end of the five-wave impulse is still in the green wave correction cycle. The first part of this cycle could already be completed at 111.00, however, further declines could not be made until 37% Fibo at 110.64. After the correction, USD / JPY should dynamically rebound above the peak of 111.79.

More details and charts of different currency pairs including the cryptanalyst on my profile at Tradingview.com are available under the link below.
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Para USD/JPY po zakończeniu pięciofalowego impulsiu wzrostowego nadal znajduje się w cyklu korekcyjnym fali 2 zielonej. Pierwsza część tego cyklu mogła już zostać zakończona na pozimie 111.00, niemniej jednak niewykluczone są dalsze spadki aż do poziomu 37%Fibo na 110.64. Po zakończeniu korekty USD/JPY powinnio dynamicznie odbić ponad szczyt fali pierwszej z poziomu 111.79.Para USD/JPY po zakończeniu pięciofalowego impulsiu wzrostowego nadal znajduje się w cyklu korekcyjnym fali 2 zielonej. Pierwsza część tego cyklu mogła już zostać zakończona na pozimie 111.00, niemniej jednak niewykluczone są dalsze spadki aż do poziomu 37%Fibo na 110.64. Po zakończeniu korekty USD/JPY powinnio dynamicznie odbić ponad szczyt fali pierwszej z poziomu 111.79.

Więcej szczegółów i wykresów różnych par walutowych, w tym kryptowalut na moim profilu na Tradingview.com dostepne jest pod linkiem poniżej.




Wednesday, 21 June 2017

GBP/USD H4












Jak narazie rynek wypełnia scenariusz jak po sznurku. 

Pomimo wyprzedanych warunków rynkowych, cena GBP/USD może jeszcze puścić szpilę w kierunku poziomu 1.2512, zanim odbije. Według licznika głównego zakończyło by to pierwszą strukturę korekcyjną fali D ( ABC z korekty trójkąta jest już zakończone) formacji trójkąta fali 4 czerwonej. Niemniej jednak warto zauważyć, że szczyt fali 4 i całkowite zaończenie korekty mogło mieć miejsce na poziomie 1.3047 i dlatego dostepny jest również alternatywny licznik impulsywny, zakaładający strukturę 1-2, (1)-(2), i-ii jako początek ostatniej, piątej fali spadkowej. Póki co spadki nie wygladają zbyt impulsywnie, powinny być znacznie wieksze przy takim alternatywnym scenariuszu. 


Poziomy unieważniające i potwierdzające scenariusze podane sa na wykresie.


Więcej szczegółów i wykresów różnych par walutowych, w tym kryptowalut na moim profilu na Tradingview.com dostepne jest pod tym linkiem:








Monday, 19 June 2017

USD/JPY Analaysis on H3 Timeframe




Z poziomu 108.77 cena wyskoczyła jak na sprężynie, w czym pomogły fundamentalne wieści z USA, gdzie FED, zgodnei z oczwkiwaniami, podniósł stopę procentową z 1.00% do 1.25%. A w planie ma jeszcze. Z tego wzgledu, korekta w postaci Zig-Zak w fali 2 mogła zostac już zakończona ( fala (c) czerwone jako klin) i obecnie cena ma przed soba do wykonania ruch wzrostowy w kierunku ostatnich szczytów fali 1.




Friday, 16 June 2017

Trading plan for 16/06/2017










Trading plan for 16/06/2017: 
Bank of Japan left the monetary policy parameters unchanged while inflation expectations remain weak despite improving economic conditions. As a result, JPY is the weakest currency from the G10 basket and is the only one losing to the dollar. The strongest are risky currencies - AUD (+0.15%), GBP, and NZD (+ 0.1%). The US dollar is gaining ground across the board again. 
On Friday 16th of June, the event calendar is busy with important economic news. Eurozone will unveil the Consumer Price Index, Russia will present Key Bank Rate decision, and Canada will post Foreign Securities Purchases. The US will publish Building Permits, Housing Starts, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.

Thursday, 15 June 2017

EUR/USD post-FED Analysis Update










Po tym jak FED podwyższył stope procentową z 1.00% do 1.25%, zapowiedział powolne przygotowanie do redukcji bilansu oraz jastrzębio zatrąbiła zazwyczaj gołębia Jannet Yellen na temat dalszych podwyzek stóp procentowych w tym roku, Eurodoli skapitulował ponizej zakładanego poziomu docelowego i jak narazie wykonuje założony scenariusz falowy. Najblizszy opór techniczny jest na pocziomie 1.1166 a pozim docelowy dla fali (c) niebieskiej to 1.1075.


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NASDAQ Ellitot Wave Analysis on Daily Timeframe


#NASDQ jeszcze spadnie? by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com

Wednesday, 14 June 2017

EUR/USD Pre-FED Elliott Wave Analysis Update


EUR/USD nadal w fali korekcyjnej, zjazd po FED? by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com


GBP/USD Analysis Update


GBP/USD zgodnie z planem, szorty w grze by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com

Monday, 12 June 2017

How is the bubble in Bitcoin?


BTC/USD jak się miewa banieczka? by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com

Trading plan for 12/06/2017










Trading plan for 12/06/2017: 
At the beginning of the week, the US Dollar is weak, it only gains against NZD. GBP/USD is rising to 1.2765, EUR/USD is holding above 1.12 and USD/JPY is oscillating around 110.25. Precious metals and grain are getting cheaper, crude oil is gaining slightly. On the Asian stock markets, weak sentiment is dominating after the direction set by Friday's depreciation of the of the US technology market blue chips. 
On Monday 12th of June, the event calendar is not busy at all and just few important data are scheduled for release. Market participants are preparing for the main event of the week, which is Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and statement on Wednesday, 14th of June.

USD/JPY Analyis on H4 Timeframe


USD/JPY w korekcie, w perspektywie wzrosty by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com
 

Sunday, 11 June 2017

GBP/USD Analysis on H4 Timeframe


GBP/USD sytuacja nadal niejasna by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com

Thursday, 8 June 2017

Trading plan for UK Parliamentary Elections on 08/06/2017

Trading plan for UK Parliamentary Elections on 08/06/2017:
Chinese and Japanese data disappointed overnight. The disappointment with the macroeconomic data has contributed to the temporary weakness of the Japanese yen, which is currently the leader in the G10 (0.4%). The weakness of the US dollar is not used by its counterparts from Australia (0.0%) and Canada (0.0%). The Pound Sterling (0.0%) is also a relatively stable part of the session, which remains at 1.2960 early in the European session. On Thursday 8th of June, the event calendar is busy with important macroeconomic data, but there are only two events that really matter today: ECB interest rate decision and press conference and the parliamentary elections in the United Kingdom.
#GBPUSD

Wednesday, 7 June 2017

EUR/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis on H4 Timeframe


EUR/JPY ciągle czeka na dokończnie korekety by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com

Tuesday, 6 June 2017

Trading plan for 06/06/2017










Trading plan for 06/06/2017: 
The rate of AUD/USD increased slightly overnight after the Reserve Bank of Australia announced a positive interest rate decision and statement. The USD/JPY pair fell below 110.00 amid the mixed mood on Asian Stock Exchanges. Crude Oil is trading 0.5% down and its price again has to struggle from falling under $47. Gold has settled up at $ 1,285 an ounce on the weak Dollar. 
On Tuesday 6th of June, the economic calendar is very light in economic data. Nevertheless, global investors will pay attention to Sentix Investor Confidence and Retail Sales from the euro area, JOLTs Job Openings data from the US, and Ivey Purchasing Managers Index data from Canada.

Monday, 5 June 2017

SP500 Elliott Wave Analysis on H4 Timeframe









SP500 Elliott Wave Analysis for 05/06/27:
The broad market index of the SP500 recor01ded another marginal peak at 2440 points, so saying "Sell in May and go away" somehow does not bring the expected results so far.

Read more at http://fxparkiet.pl/post.php?id=7908

Trading plan for 05/06/2017










Trading plan for 05/06/2017
Today's volatility is limited and, given today's holiday in many important financial centers, it is difficult to count on a change of this situation. The strong finish of the week on Wall Street does not improve the mood in Asia. Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng are under the line. Of the major indexes, only gains are rising by modest 0.2%. Nikkei225. EUR/USD retreats towards 1.1250. USD/JPY is rising above 110.50. 
On Monday 5th of June 2017, the event calendar is light in economic releases, but the global investors will pay attention to set of the PMI releases from across the Eurozone, PMI Services data from the UK and Revised Nonfarm Productivity data from the US.

Friday, 2 June 2017

SP500 Elliott Wave Analysis On H2 Timeframe


SP500 zwyżkuje, chociaż są oznaki słabości na szczycie by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com

Pre-NFP Payrolls Trading Plan










Trading plan for 02/06/2017: 
Strong data from ADP and ISM are supporting the US Dollar, but the market is in the waiting mode ahead of the key event of the week, Non-Farm Payrolls report. USD/JPY climbs above 111.50, followed by the Nikkei breaking 20,000 for the first time since December. Gold weakens under strong Dollar pressure and WTI crude oil is unable to hold higher. 
On Friday 2nd of June, the event calendar is busy with important news releases, so global investors will pay attention to PMI Construction data from the UK, Producer Price Index from the Eurozone, Trade Balance from Canada and Unemployment Rate and Non-Farm Payrolls data from the US.

Thursday, 1 June 2017

USD/CAD Daily Elliott Wave Analysis


USD/CAD długookresowy szczyt potwierdzony? by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com

AUD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis


AUD/JPY zaczyna impulsywne spadki? by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com


Trading plan for 01/06/2017










Trading plan for 01/06/2017: 
After the poor data from China, AUD was heavily sold. The Shanghai Stock Exchange moved down, but the rest of the indexes are trading flat. GBP/USD is coming down from the highs as the political issues are setting the tone for trade. Crude Oil rebounded after better-than-expected stockpiles data. 
On Thursday 1st of June, the event calendar is quite busy with important news releases, so global investors will pay attention to PMI Manufacturing data from the Eurozone and the UK, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Claims, and ISM Manufacturing PMI from the US.

Wednesday, 31 May 2017

Trading plan for 31/05/2017










Trading plan for 31/05/2017:
 Not much changes across the financial markets overnight. The Asian session was noted with low volatility, Shanghai Composite is up 0.2% and the Japanese Nikkei is losing 0.3%. On FX market only the British Pound is losing ground as the YouGov poll for The Times pointed out that Tories could run out of 16 seats to reach a majority in parliament.
 On Wednesday 31st of May, the event calendar is quite busy with important economic releases, so global investors will pay attention to PMI Manufacturing data from China, German Unemployment Rate, and Retail Sales data, Net Lendings to Individuals and Mortgage Approvals from the UK, CPI and Unemployment Rate in the Eurozone, Gross Domestic Product from Canada and Pending Home Sales from the US.

EUR/USD Elliott Wave Analysis on H2 Timeframe


EUR/USD zejście w dół wygląda na korekcyjne by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com


Tuesday, 30 May 2017

Trading plan for 30/05/2017










Trading plan for 30/05/2017: 
The Euro lost ground overnight amid mounting political risks. The EUR/USD pair slumped overnight to 1.1130 with rising pressure on Greece, Italy, and the ECB. The Chinese market is still closed for the holiday, but general sentiment in Asia is cautious with a slight risk aversion. The commodity market continues to move sideways due to the closure of major stock exchanges. 
On Tuesday 30th of May, the event calendar is quite busy with important economic releases, so global investors will pay attention to French GDP data, German Preliminary CPI data, Canadian Current Account data, CB Consumer Confidence, and Financial Stability Review presented by Reserve Bank of New Zealand.



GBP/USD Ellitt Wave Analysis Update


GBP/USD poczatek impulsu spadkowego czy tylko korekta? by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com


Thursday, 25 May 2017

Trading plan for 25/05/2017










Trading plan for 25/05/2017: 
Not much volatility on financial markets during the night takes place, but the US Dollar is losing ground slightly as the FOMC minutes have shown increased Fed cautiousness over the pace of monetary tightening. Sentiment in the stock market is positive despite the recent terrorist attack in the UK. Crude oil remains high before the OPEC meeting. 
On Thursday 25th of May, the event calendar is quite busy in important data release, so market participants will pay attention to Second GDP Estimate and Business Investment from the UK, Unemployment and Continuing Claims from the US, and the National CPI Index data from Japan later in the night.

USD/JPY H1 Timeframe Analysis


USD/JPY w klinie zwyżkujacym by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com


Wednesday, 24 May 2017

AUD/USD Elliott Wave Analysis on H4 Timeframe


AUD/USD nadal wykańcza korektę spadkową by sebastian.seliga.7 on TradingView.com


 
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