{lang: 'en-US'} January 2014 ~ ElliottFxTrader Blog

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Sunday, 26 January 2014

AUD/USD H1



General Overview for 26/01/2014:
Both on H4 and H1 time frame suggest that the end is near as price is in last wave of overall impulsive wave progression. The target levels have to be hit before biunce will happen and to confirm thet price can not breakout to the upside from the golden channel BEFORE black support line is taken out.
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Gold Daily Analysis

General Overview for 26/01/2014:
There are two possible scenarios here and the difference is in shape of the corrective wave: it can be either a ABCDE triangle wave 4 black OR an ABC Irregular Flat Wave 4 black. When the correction is completed, one more low is being expected to complete the overall higher time frame cycle degree.
On lower time frames, the main count is in favour of a triangle count and this is th main count now. The alternate count is a 1-2, (i)-(ii),(1)-(2) impulsive scenario for wave C of th Irregular Flat.

Support/Resistance:
1311 - 1321 - Target level for wave Y.
1352 - Supply Zone
1231 - Invalidation line for purple impulsive count.


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Saturday, 25 January 2014

USD/JPY Daily



General Overview for 25/01/2014:
There are two possible scenarios for  this wave progression to develop and just because there is no immediate impulsive reaction to the downside after a possible top has been made I'm still long USD/JPY. The critical level on H4 and Daily time frame for a bullish continuation is 101.62 - 102.47 area, where the corrective cycle of Irregular Flat ABC might finish.
The other scenario is a wave 5 TRUNCATION as per chart and that means thes pair should continue with sudden sell-off for to the downside.

Trading Recommendations:
Buy the grey rectangle area.

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EUR/USD H4


General Overview for 25/01/2014:
Please notice the Non Linear Regression Model schannel slope: it is spointing downward. Another clue that a corrective cycle is finished is that there is a new low no L43 below the L31 low. Expecting more weakness this week to hit the level of  1.3400 minimum.

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GBP/USD H1


General Overview for 25/01/2014:

On Weekly chart the possible triangle formation might be done and short orders should be opened now BUT tho confirm this point of view the breakout below green trendline must happen on at least daily time frame.
On lower time frames one can see that the impulsive wave progression needs one more wave to the downside before the corrective wave 2 will start. The Key Level is 1.6556 - 1.6582 area: to continue with the strong bearish momentum it cannot be broken.
New high invalidates the count.

Trading Recommendations:
Add to the shorts on retracement to the level of 1.6582 area.
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Sigma_Square VIP SERVICE Trading Results for week 20-24/01/2014




Sigma_Square VIP SERVICE:
This week result is +2345 pips.
Scalping mainly with one swing trade on Crude Oil Futures.

Past perforamce is here:
Wanna join the service? Click here:


Signals Samples:
Weeks From 20.01.2014 - 24.01.2014

ForexSignalNo.350|Buy CrudeOil@93.13|SL:92.48|TP1:94.32|TP2:95.58|2014.01.12 11:42 CET|ScalpBuy| TP HIT +235pips
ForexSignalNo: 378|Sell GBP/USD @ 1.6553 |SL 1.6610| TP 1.6217| SwingSell| Closed +55pips
ForexSignalNo: 377|Buy USD/CAD @ 1.0988 |SL 1.0949| TP 1.1000| ScalpBuy|Closed +31pips
ForexSignalNo: 377a|Buy USD/CAD @ 1.0972 |SL 1.0949| TP 1.1000| ScalpBuy|Closed +46pips
ForexSignalNo: 376|Buy Stop EUR/CAD @ 1.4894| SL 1.4828| TP 1.4986|ScalpBuy|Closed +26pips
ForexSignalNo: 375|Sell GBP/JPY @ 171.75| SL 172.07| TP 171.00 |SL-25pips
ForexSignalNo: 374| Buy EUR/CAD @ 1.4886 SL 1.4871 TP 1.4900 TP HIT +23pips
ForexSignalNo: 374a| Buy EUR/CAD @ 1.4891 SL 1.4871 TP 1.4900 TP HIT +19pips
ForexSignalNo: 374b| Buy EUR/CAD @ 1.4881 SL 1.4871 TP 1.4900 TP HIT +25pips
ForexSignalNo: 373|Buy GBP/NZD @ 1.9780 SL 1.9735 TP 1.9819| Closed +13pips
ForexSignalNo: 373a|Buy GBP/NZD @ 1.9757 SL 1.9735 TP 1.9819| Closed +36pips
ForexSignalNo: 373b|Buy GBP/NZD @ 1.9787 SL 1.9735 TP 1.9819| Closed +7pips
ForexSignalNo: 372|Sell NZD/USD @ 0.8311 |SL 0.8341| TP 0.8286|Closed +3pips
ForexSignalNo: 371|Buy USD/CAD @ 1.0983 |SL 1.0964|TP 1.1007| TP HIT +21pips
ForexSignalNo: 371a|Buy USD/CAD @ 1.0992 |SL 1.0964| TP 1.1007| TP HIT +15pips
ForexSignalNo.371|Buy EUR/JPY@141.83|SL:141.49|TP1:142.15|TP2:142.90|2014.01.21 08:42 CET|ScalpBuy| SCALED OUT
ForexSignalNo.371a|Buy EUR/JPY@141.85|SL:141.49|TP1:142.15|TP2:142.90|2014.01.21 08:42 CET|ScalpBuy|SCALED OUT
ForexSignalNo.371b|Buy EUR/JPY@141.73|SL:141.49|TP1:142.15|TP2:142.90|2014.01.21 08:42 CET|ScalpBuy|SCALED OUT
ForexSignalNo.368|Sell Limit EUR/USD@1.3570|SL:1.3591|TP1:1.3507|2014.01.120 16:45 CET|ScalpSell| INVALIDATED
ForexSignalNo.348|Sell Limit GBP/USD@1.6542|SL:1.6563|TP1:1.6336|2014.01.11 19:42 CET|SwingSell|SL HIT -20pips
ForexSignalNo.370|Buy Limit GBP/USD@1.6394|SL:1.6374|TP1:1.6550|2014.01.20 19:42 CET|ScalpBuy|INVALIDATED

Twitter script from my account as a confirmation of the result screenshot:


Monday, 20 January 2014

USD/CHF H4


General Overview for 20/01/2014:
The anticipated wave (v) to the upside is finally in progress and there is one more wave to the upside missing.

Support/Resistance:
0.9213 - WR1
0.9125 - Wave (iii) green high
0.9078 - Weekly Pivot
0.9044 - WS1
0.8951 - WS2

Trading Recommendations:
As long as golden trendline holds buying the dips is advised in anticipation of one more push to the upside.

The chart is BEFORE & AFTER kind of chart: the move top the upside with green arrows has been anticipated since 08th january 2014.


Monday, 13 January 2014

Crude Oil Daily Analysis


Please click here:
http://www.investing.com/analysis/crude-oil-daily-elliott-wave-analysis:-3-wave-upward-rally-198390
Thank You,
Seb

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Friday, 10 January 2014

Sigma_Square VIP SERVICE Trading Results for week 6-10/01/2014


Sigma_Square VIP SERVICE:
Today's result is +48 pips (twitter red circle). 
Scalping only, but plenty of good signals has been sent althrough I did not use them to the fullest extend.
+698 pips in since Monday this week.

Past perforamce is here:
http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/p/blog-page.html
Wanna join the service? Click here:
http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/p/vip-service.html


Signals Samples:
Weeks From 06.01.2014 - 12.01.2014:

ForexSignalNo.344|Sell GBP/AUD@1.8455|SL:1.8466|TP:1.8416|2014.01.10 11:42 CET|ScalpSell|Closed -13 pips
ForexSignalNo.343|Sell GBP/CAD@1.7844|SL:1.7881|TP:1.0776|2014.01.10 11:33 CET|ScalpSell| Closed -12pips
ForexSignalNo.342|Sell USD/CAD@1.0817|SL:1.0831|TP:1.0783||2014.01.08 11"00 CET|ScalpSell|Closed -20pips
ForexSignalNo.341|Sell GBP/JPY@172.25|SL:172.61|TP:Open||2014.01.08 09:50 CET|ScalpSell|Closed @ 171.98 +27pips
ForexSignalNo.341|Sell GBP/JPY@172.25|SL:172.61|TP:Open||2014.01.08 09:50 CET|ScalpSell|Closed @ 171.98 +27pips
ForexSignalNo.341|Sell GBP/JPY@171.95|SL:172.07|TP:171.50||2014.01.08 09:50 CET|ScalpSell|IN PLAY
ForexSignalNo.340|Sell EUR/JPY@142.75|SL:143.03|TP:Open||2014.01.08 09:50 CET|ScalpSell|Closed @ 142.38 +37pips
ForexSignalNo.340a|Sell EUR/JPY@142.80|SL:143.03|TP:Open||2014.01.08 09:50 CET|ScalpSell|Closed @ 142.38 +42pips
ForexSignalNo.340b|Sell EUR/JPY@142.82|SL:143.03|TP:Open||2014.01.08 09:50 CET|ScalpSell|Closed @ 142.38 +44pips
ForexSignalNo.340|Sell EUR/JPY@142.90|SL:143.03|TP:Open||2014.01.08 10:05 CET|ScalpSell|Closed @ 142.38 +52pips
ForexSignalNo.339|SellLimitEUR/NZD@1.6490|SL:1.6511|TP:1.6180|2014.01.07 11:45 CET|SwingSell
ForexSignalNo.338|EUR/JPY@142.20|SL:142.12|TP:142.40|2014.01.07 10:10 CET|ScalpBuy|SL HIT -8pips
ForexSignalNo.337|Sell GBP/USD@1.6383|SL:1.6394|TP:1.6357||TP2:1.6336|2014.01.07 09:50 CET|ScalpSell SL HIT -20pips
ForexSignalNo.336|Buy EUR/CAD@1.4535|SL:1.4525|TP:1.4600|2014.01.07 09:40 CET|ScalpBuy| Closed @ 1.4585 +50pips
ForexSignalNo.336a|Buy Stop EUR/CAD@1.4555|SL:1.4525|TP:1.4600|2014.01.07 09:40 CET|ScalpBuy| Closed @ 1.4585 +30pips
ForexSignalNo.335|Sell GBP/JPY@170.95|SL:171.21|TP:170.50||TP2:170.15|2014.01.07 09:30 CET|ScalpSell| SL HIT -23 pips
ForexSignalNo.335a|Sell Stop GBP/JPY@170.81|SL:171.21|TP:170.50||TP2:170.15|2014.01.07 10:20 CET|ScalpSell
ForexSignalNo.331|SellLimitEUR/NZD@1.6460|SL:1.6501|TP:1.6180|2014.01.06 15:10 CET|SwingSell| IN PLAY| Closed sooner +30 pips 
ForexSignalNo.332|Sell USD/CAD@1.0670|SL:1.681|TP:1.0647|2014.01.06 15:45 CET|ScalpSell|Closed +10pips
ForexSignalNo.333|Sell EUR/JPY@142.70|SL:142.81|TP:142.40|2014.01.06 16:30 CET|ScalpSell|TP HIT +30pips
ForexSignalNo.334|Buy EUR/AUD@1.5230|SL:1.5211|TP:1.5261|2014.01.06 16:40 CET|ScalpBuy |Closed @ 1.5228 -8pips

Wednesday, 8 January 2014

USD/CHF Daily


General Longterm Overview for 08/01/2014:
Complex corrective cycle looks to be completed and 38%Fibo provided the support for the last leg of wave 2 black. Breakout above 0.9300 is needed to confirm the strength but full confirmation comes with parity breakout.

Support/Resistance:
0.9130 - Techncial Resistance
0.9300 - Technical Resistance | 23%Fibo
0.9456 - Technical Resistance

Trading Recommendations:

Buy the dips folks.
:)

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Tuesday, 7 January 2014

GBPUSD H4

General Overview for 07/01/2014 17:00 CET
H4 time frame:
The recent swing high at 1.6600 is  currently the top for wave 5 of wave C of the overall ABCDE triangle wave Bcycle. So, with this in mind the setups we will be looking for are bearish setups in order to sell the corrective rallys as long as the top on 1.6600 is not broken.
H1 Time frame (intraday):
This is the count for a corrective cycle in wave II black. This correction looks unfinished to the upside but it is quite hard to tell right now what the shape of the corrective wave will be. Nevertheless, th level we will be looking for to enter SHORT POSITIONS is 1.6474 OR 1.6500. It willbe a good level for a short swing trade.

Support/Resistance:
1.6600 - Swing High and possible big degree cycle top.
1.6517 - WR1
1.6500 - Target for wave II
1.6474 - Target for wave II
1.6456 - Weekly Pivot
1.6438 - Intraday Resistance
1.6366 - Intraday Support
1.6310 - WS1

Trading Recommendations:
Swing trader please waite for better prices to enter SING SHORT POSITION.
Intraday scalpers - play the breakouts.


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Friday, 3 January 2014

EUR/USD Weekly Daily, H4 and H1



General Overview for 03/01/2014 16:00 CET
There are two main  counts for this pair and the main difference is in degree of labeling. The market is still in a last stages of a Triangle formation wave B.
Weekly charts possible scenarios are:
- SCENARIO 1 - MAIN COUNT - The current wave dvelopment is missing wave C blue to the downside, before the upside trend will resume. This wave C will be the last wave of the XX corrective cycle. This point of view present complex wave development in the last stage of triangle wave B.
- SCENARIO 2 - ALTERNATE COUNT - This labeling offers rather shallower retracement in corrective cycle wave C  of wave B and then a possible impulsive wave progression to the upside.


On Daily chart there is a count with great details plus one more alternate count. The difference is on the DEGREE OD THE CYCLE LABELING only and some more target levels for a different degree. Moreover, the reason for so many counts is the uncertaintity of the shape  of the present wave: XX or wave C.



Lower time frames ( intraday H4 and H1) show more possible wave progression in the direcion of unfinished wave C to the downside.



 
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