{lang: 'en-US'} March 2013 ~ ElliottFxTrader Blog

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Friday, 29 March 2013

GBP/USD H4 Update

As long as brown tren line is not broken this pair can still test Weekly Pivot and if it is broken  it can go up to grey SUPPLY area.
===================================================================
Dopóty brązowa linia trendu nie zostanie przebita, kabel w dalszym ciągu może przetestować Weekly Pivot a jeśli ten zostanie przebity to nawet szarą strefę PODAŻY.

Seb

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Wednesday, 27 March 2013

Crude Oil H4 Update


This is a Swing Trade recomendaion that have been issued on VIP Service Blog.


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Seb



EUR/AUD H1 Update

This is Expanding Ending Diagonal Count - and it is missing one more wave to the downside to finish the cycle. Please notice the Bullish Divergence.

Seb

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EUR/JPY H1 Update

This morning chart of EUR/JPY H1 posted on VIP Service blog.

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BEFORE AND AFTER:



EUR/USD Daily Update

Gann Fan chart shows the possible support for this pair is @ 1.2400 area if 1.2830 is broken.

Elliott Wave Count shows five wave progression from 1.3708 top has been finished (wave 1) and now choppy corrective patern has ben made as well (wave 2).Currently wave 1 of lesser degree has been made and correction in wave 2  is about to end.

Seb

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EUR-GBP H4 Update

It looks like the correction is over now and only a break below the 0.8456 level would invalid the count.
Bulls need an impulsive wave development to the upside , ideally starting with trend line break.
=======================================================================
Wyglada na to że korekta sie skończyła i tylko przebicie poziomu 0.8456 może zanegować układ fal.
Byki potrzebują impulsywnego przebicia linii trendu by kontynuować wzrosty.

Seb


Tuesday, 26 March 2013

WIG20 Futures H4 Update


The level of 2310 - 2318 is very important support for bulls.
=================================================================
Poziom 2310 - 2318 jest ważnym wsparciem dla byków.

Seb
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SP500 H1 Update

Due to wave (ii) has entered the area of wave (i) the previous count has been invalidated. This count is really a Triangle wave 4 count now and I'm waiting for the last breakout to the upside.
=======================================================================
Poprzedni licznik  spadkowy został unieważniony ze względu na nakładanie sie fali (i) z (ii). Obecny licznik jest w sumie licznikem Trójkąta fali 4 i obecnie czekam na  wybicie górą.

Seb

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Friday, 22 March 2013

Signal Service Trading Results 18-22.03.2013

Trading Results:


Week from 20Dec - 30Dec:               +145pips
Weeks from 31Dec - 11Jan:              +543 pips
Week from  14Jan - 18 Jan                +208pips
Week from 21Jan - 25Jan                 +215pips
Week from 28Jan - 1Feb                  +128pips( +10 Dax points + 8$ on Gold)
Week from 04Feb-08Feb                   +93pips  
Weeks From 11.02- 22.02.2013          +138pips,(+$66 on Gold, -10Dax  points)
Week from 25.02 - 01.03. 2013           +158pisps in scalp, +180pips in swing, -3 SP500 points
Week from 04.03 - 08.03. 2013           +150pips in scalp,   +50pips in swing
Week from 10.03 - 15.03.2013            +40pips in scalp,      -40pips in swing ,  -$2 on Gold
Week from 18.03 - 22.03.2013             +101pips in scalp, +5points on SP500
 
Grand Total since 20.12.2012               +2115pips! 
                                                              0 DAX Points
                                                               +2 SP500 points 
                                                               +$84 Gold

Scalp trade is min:1 lot.
Swing Trade is min: 0,1lot.
Leverage is 200:1

Thursday, 21 March 2013

USD/JPY H1 Update

Brown trend line breakout might means that the price could be heading lower to complete the corrective cycle. Only a sustained breakout back above the trendline and then above WR1 will put this bearish outlook into question.
======================================================================
Brązowa linia trendu została przebita i obecnie może to oznaczać zę cena zejdzie niżej. Tylko powrotne  przebicie linii trendu  a następnie WR1 stawia ten układ fal pod znakiem zapytania.

Seb

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Wednesday, 20 March 2013

EUR/JPY H1 Update

This is wave progression that have been sent to the clients of VIP Service.

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Tuesday, 19 March 2013

GBP/AUD H4 & Daily Elliott Wave Analysys


New Elliott Wave count of GBPAUD here.

 On Daily chart one can see, that the last sell off was wave 3 of overall cycle and there is a need for one more wave to the downside:
=====================================================================
Na wykresie dziennym widać, że ostatnia silna sprzedaz  to była fala 3 całego cyklu i dlatego potrzebna jest jeszcze jedna fala w dól aby zakończyc pełen cykl:




On H4 chart one can see a corrective formation is being formed: it is either on Triangle (main) or Irregular Flat form (alternate):
=======================================================================
Na wykresie H4 widać, że są możliwe dwie formacje fali 4: Trójkąt lub Korekta Prosta :

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Friday, 15 March 2013

Trading Results 10-15.03.2013

Hello Traders!

Not very impressive result this week mainly due to very quiet market for first 3days of the week.
Two good signals for scalp on EURUSD  and two signals for swing long on GBPUD  has not been filled as well. Pity, because there were a near miss.
Anyway: profit is profit.

Those are trading results on Signal Service for last week into two categories: scalp and swing signal
Total of pips earned is a MININAL (basic) amount of pips, because IN SCALP TRADES ONLY TP1 IS BEING COUNTED!!!
So the potential amount of pips earned is much better.



Weeks From 10.03.2013 - 15.03.2013:

Scalp:
Forex Signal No.153|Buy USD/CAD@1.0150|SL:1.0137|TP1:1.0210|2013.03.15|13:30  CET|Scalp Buy 
Forex Signal No.152|Buy EUR/USD@1.2980| SL:1.29658|TP1:1.3000|TP2:1.3050|2013.03.15|10:00  CET|Scalp Buy
Forex Signal No.150|Sell  EUR/USD@1.2973| SL:1.2986| TP1:1.2895|TP2:1.2880|2013.03.14|11:00  CET|Scalp Sell| INVALIDATED
Forex Signal No.149|Sell GBP/USD@1.4963| SL:1.4975| TP1:1.4943|TP2:1.4913|2013.3.1311:00 CET|LIVE TWEET|SLhit -12 pips
Forex Signal No.148|Buy  EUR/JPY@123.55| SL:123.39| TP1:124.55| TP2:125.75|2013.03.12 11:45 CET|Scalp Buy
Forex Signal No.147|Sell GBP/USD@1.4870| SL:1.4901| TP1:1.4800|TP2:1.4775|2013.3.12 10:30 CET|LIVE TWEET| SL=BE|Closed +20pips
Forex Signal No.146|Buy AUD/USD@1.0295| SL:1.0272| TP1:1.0355|TP2:1.0415|2013.3.12 10:25 CET|Scalp Buy|SL=BE| TP change to 1.0355|SL=1.0320| OUT: +30pips
Forex Signal No.145|Sell  EUR/USD@1.3070| SL:1.3082| TP1:1.3000| TP2:1.2980|2013.03.11 20:45 CET|Scalp Sell Closed +5pips, TP1 Hit: +20pips
Forex Signal No.144|Sell EUR/GBP@0.8764| SL:0.8781| TP1:0.8675|TP2:0.8624|2013.3.11 22:25 CET|Scalp Sell| Closed -2pips
Forex Signal No.142|Buy USD/CAD@1.0200| SL:1.0183| TP1:1.0300|TP2:1.03300|2013.3.11 22:25 CET|Scalp Buy| INVALIDATED
Forex Signal No.141|Sell EUR/AUD@1.2720| SL:1.2735| TP:1.2650 |2013.03.11 22:20 CET| ScalpSell |INVALIDATED
Forex Signal No.140|Buy DAX@7910| SL:7893| TP1:8000 TP2:8050|2013.03.11 22:20 CET| ScalpBuy |INVALIDATED
Forex Signal No.139|Sell Gold@$1590| SL:$1592| TP1:$1575 TP2:$1565|2013.03.11 22:15 CET| ScalpSell |SL HIT -$2

Forex Signal No.136|Sell  EUR/USD@1.3040| SL:1.3052| TP1:1.3000| TP2:1.2980|2013.03.11 20:45 CET|Scalp Sell SL HIT: -12pips
TOTAL: +46 pips
     
Swing:
Forex Signal No.151a|Buy CAD/JPY@93.45| SL:92.89| TP1:95.10|TP2:95.55|2013.03.14|21:50  CET|Swing Buy| IN PLAY
Forex Signal No.151b|Buy CAD/JPY@93.10| SL:92.89| TP1:95.10|TP2:95.55|2013.03.14|21:50  CET|Swing Buy
Forex Signal No.138a|Buy  GBP/JPY@142.88| SL:142.58| TP1:143.88| TP2:144.48|2013.03.11 22:10 CET| Swing Buy | SL HIT: -30pips
Forex Signal No.137a|Buy  GBP/USD@1.4880| SL:1.4859| TP1:1.5100| TP2:1.5200|2013.03.11 22:00 CET| Swing Buy |Closed @ 1.4870 after data -10pips
Forex Signal No.143a|Buy AUD/USD@1.0185| SL:1.0095| TP1:1.0375|TP2:1.0500|2013.3.11 22:25 CET|Swing Buy |INVALIDATED
Forex Signal No.143b|Buy AUD/USD@1.0120| SL:1.0095| TP1:1.0375|TP2:1.0500|2013.3.11 22:25 CET|Swing Buy|INVALIDATED
TOTAL: -40pips



Total this week: pips, +6pips
                          

Grand Total since 20.12.2012          +2014pips! 
                                                              0 DAX Points
                                                               -3 SP500 points 
                                                               +$84 Gold


Some of the swing trades are still in play: those are not leveraged trades.


Thanks for another profitable week!


Enjoy the weekend!






Green Pips,
Sebasitan Seliga

WIG20 Futures H4 Update

Nice wave 2 Triple ZigZag pattern with Ending Diagonal wave Z here.
Currently it looks like wave v of wave 1 might be fnishing or it has finished @ 38.6%Fibo. Next target would be 50% Fibo @ 2540points.
Only a break below the low of wave 2 would invalidate this count.
==============================================================
Ładny Potrójny ZygZak  z Ending Diagonal na fali Z jako cała fala 2.
Obecnie wygląda na to, że fala v albo się skończyła przy 38.6% FIbo albo jej następnym celem będzie 50% Fibo @ 2450punktów.

Tylko przebicie dołka unieważnia licznik.

Seb

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Thursday, 14 March 2013

EUR/USD H1 Update

This is last three days H1 analysys of EUR/USD on H1 TF posted on VIP Service blog.

Please check where the price is now.


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Seb




Monday, 11 March 2013

Nikkei225 Futures Weekly

This is Nikkei225 Futures Weekly chart back from 2004 - one can see the price is very close to 50% Fibo of the wave A and this is first level where wave B could be finished. The next level is 61% Fibo and previous Wave 4 SUPPLY area:

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Seb

 

Sunday, 10 March 2013

GBP/USD Weekly Update

Another count possibility (not my favoritue).

Seb

Signal Service Trading Results 04-08March 2013

Hello Traders!

Those are trading results on Signal Service for last week into two categories: scalp and swing.
Total of pips earned is a MININAL (basic) amount of pips, because IN SCALP TRADES ONLY TP1 IS BEING COUNTED!!!
So the potential amount of pips earned is much better.

Weeks From 04.03.2013 - 08.03.2013:

Scalp:
Forex Signal No.115|Buy  AUD/USD@1.0135| SL:1.0099| TP1:1.0235| TP2:1.0286|2013.02.27 12:35 CET| ScalpBuy |Closed @ 1.0163 +28pips | TP1 HIT: +100pips
Forex Signal No.135|Sell  EUR/USD@1.3047| SL:1.3077| TP1:1.2917| TP2:1.2877|2013.03.07 09:45 CET|Scalp Sell| -30pips
Forex Signal No.134|Buy USD/JPY@94.00| SL:93.75| TP1:94.50| TP2:94.79| 2013.03.07 09.05 CET| ScalpBuy|Live Tweet|SL Moved to 93.85| TP1 HIT: +50pips |TP2CHANGE to 94.99|TP2:Hit +50pips
Forex Signal No.133|Sell  EUR/USD@1.3017| SL:1.3022| TP1:1.2917| TP2:1.2877|2013.03.07 08:45 CET|Scalp Sell|Closed 0 pips
Forex Signal No.132|Buy USD/JPY@93.43| SL:93.25| TP1:93.73| TP2:94.00|2013.03.06 10:05 CET| ScalpBuy|Live Tweet Closed +15pips | TP1 HIT:+30pips | TP2 HIT: +57pips|
Forex Signal No.130|Sell  NZD/USD@0.8353| SL:0.8365| TP1:0.8290| TP2:0.8230|2013.03.05 09:45 CET|Scalp Sell| 0 pips (Missed by 4pips!!!)
Forex Signal No.129|Sell  EUR/GBP@0.8708| SL:0.8725| TP1:0.8608| TP2:0.8575|2013.03.03 18:45 CET|Scalp Sell|CLOSED @ BE 0 pips.
TOTAL: +150 ( with TP2: 257pips)
     
Swing:
Forex Signal No.127a|Buy  GBP/USD@1.4990| SL:1.4959| TP1:1.5200| TP2:1.5300|2013.03.03 12:00 CET| Swing Buy |Closed @ 1.5055 +65pips
Forex Signal No.127b|Buy  GBP/USD@1.4970| SL:1.4959| TP1:1.5200| TP2:1.5300|2013.03.03 12:00 CET| Swing Buy| Closed @ 1.5055 +85pips
Forex Signal No.124a|Sell USD/CAD@1.0249| SL:1.0390| TP1:1.0150|TP2:1.0090|2013.02.28 12:05 CET|Swing Sell|Closed -75pips
Forex Signal No.124b|Sell USD/CAD@1.0300| SL:1.0390| TP1:1.0150|TP2:1.0090|2013.02.28 21:30 CET|Swing Sell| Closed -25pips
Total: +50pips


Total this week: +200pips
                            



Week from 20Dec - 30Dec:               +145pips
Weeks from 31Dec - 11Jan:              +543 pips
Week from  14Jan - 18 Jan                +208pips
Week from 21Jan - 25Jan                 +215pips
Week from 28Jan - 1Feb                  +128pips( +10 Dax points + 8$ on Gold)
Week from 04Feb-08Feb                   +93pips  
Weeks From 11.02- 22.02.2013          +138pips,(+$66 on Gold, -10Dax  points)
Week from 25.02 - 01.03. 2013           +158pisps in scalp, +180pips in swing, -3 SP500 points
Week from 04.03 - 08.03. 2013           +150pips in scalp,   +50pips in swing

 
Grand Total since 20.12.2012               +2008pips! 
                                                              0 DAX Points
                                                               -3 SP500 points 
                                                               +$86 Gold


Some of the swing trades are still in play: those are not leveraged trades


Green Pips,
Sebasitan Seliga

Thursday, 7 March 2013

DJIA H4,D1 & Weekly Update

This is BULLISH and BEARISH point view on Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures.

The main count is BEARISH.

The next possible level  for wave 5 is 14388: there is a serious major Weekly Pivot Resistance, 61%Fibo Expansion and (6/8) octave level for major reverse measured from 2012.11.16 low.

Daily Fibo Time Cluster oscilates between 08-11 March 2013.
=====================================================================

BYCZY i NIEDZWIEDZI punkt widzenia na Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures.

Posdtawowy licznik jest NIEDZWIEDZI.

Następny mozliwy poziom dla szczytu fali 5 to 14388: znajduje sie w tym obszarze klaster cenowy skladajacy sie z Weekly Pivot, 61% Fibo Expansion oraz (6/8) oktawy MurrayMath mierzonej od dołka dnia 16.11.2012.

Pozatym w dniach 8-11 Marzec 2013 znajduje sie silny Klaster czasowy Fibo.

Seb
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Wednesday, 6 March 2013

NZD/USD H4 Update

This is signal posted hours before the actual trade:
 
 Forex Signal No.130|Sell  NZD/USD@0.8353| SL:0.8365| TP1:0.8290| TP2:0.8230|2013.03.05 09:45 CET|Scalp Sell|



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 And those are before and after charts:

 Seb

USD/JPY H1 Update

This is today's signal I have issued on Signal Service and BEFORE  and  AFTER charts:

Forex Signal No.132|Buy USD/JPY@93.43| SL:93.25| TP1:93.73| TP2:94.00|2013.03.06 10:05 CET| ScalpBuy|Live Tweet 

TP1 and TP2 - both hit + 60pips

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Seb 


 

Tuesday, 5 March 2013

SP500 Futures H1 Update

Pretty much impulsive wave developing right now with very short retracements/corrections.
Buying levels with targets on chart: one can buy wave 4 retracement to former high @ 1530.


===================================================================== Impulsywny rozwój falowy z bardzo płytkimi korektami.
Poziom kupna to poprzeni szczyt 1530, do którego może sięgnąć korekta nieregularna fali 4.

Seb

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Saturday, 2 March 2013

EUR/USD H4,Daily & Weekly Update

According to alternative count (alt:green) level of 1.2965 might be the end of wave (v) and my anticipaded level of 1.2953 will not be hit.
 However the main count still points out one more impulsive wave down opportunity as long as 1.3052 is not taken out. Even if it is, this recent move down still can be counted as Ending Diagonal wave (v). Only break above 61% Fibo will invalidate any bearish scenarios (grey rectangle) and break above thick red line @ 1.3162 will put the count into question.

On Daily chart there is even more bearish count with wave (4) moved a little bit higher. That would mean the current low is wave 3 not 3.

Seb

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GBP/USD Daily & Weekly Update

The reasons why I think wave 1 might be over and now cable need corrective bounce before further continuation in wave 3 are:
- five waves down  from 1.6300 high. Wave 5 is expdanded.
- bullish divergence on H4 and Daily timeframe on Awesome Oscilator, RSI and MFI
-gap is not fully covered
- typical for wave 5 over-throw from acceleration channel on H4
- Fibonacci Time Cluster on 04.03.2013 with highest score between 04:00 - 12:00.
- support from Gann Fan line on Weekly chart
-Gortzel Cycle algorythm is pointing upward
- COT Sentiment futures  data suggest that commercial hedgers had inceresed the long posions over large speculators and small traders

The reasons why I think there might be one more wave down (about 130pips are):
-market must confuse everyone
-last wave down might be wave (iii) of (5) due to no bullish divergence on H1 yet
- 61% Fibo expansion @ 1.4877 might be hit before bounce
 -Weak Reverse (1/8) level @ 1.4892 might be hit before reverse

Nevertheless,  one should try to buy some GBP/USD with tight stop.

In bigger view, if wave 1 is finished then the min retracement could reach previous wave four of a lesser degree and this one is @ level 1.5313 that is very close to the 23.6%Fibo retracement.

The suggested pattern of wave 2 correction is 5-3-5 ZigZag simple correction if 23%Fibo will hold as a top of wave 2 or WXY Double ZigZag if 23% will be broken to the upside.

If You want to receive more charts like this  - with EW count, arrows, entry, TP,SL and explanation - JOIN THE VIP SERVICE NOW!

Seb








Friday, 1 March 2013

Signal Service Trading Results 25.Feb-01March

Hello Traders!

Those are results on Signal Service for last week into two categories: scale and signal:


Weeks From 25.02.2013 - 01.03.2013:
Scalp:
Forex Signal No.126|Buy EUR/GBP@0.8670| SL:0.8649| TP1:0.8700|TP2:0.8800|2013.03.01 11:05 CET|Live Tweet| SL HIT @ 0.8658 -12pips
Forex Signal No.125|Sell NZD/USD@0.8340| SL:0.8352| TP1:0.8270|TP2:0.8210|2013.02.28 12:35 CET|Scalp Sell|INVALIDATED
Forex Signal No.122|Sell EUR/JPY@121.08| SL:121.36| TP1:120.58|2013.02.28 10:10 CET Live Tweet| Closed +23pips | TP1 HIT:+50pips
Forex Signal No.121|Sell  CrudeOil@93.35| SL:93.55| TP1:92.35| TP2:91.850|2013.02.28 09:40 CET|ScalpSell | INVALIDATED
Forex Signal No.120|Sell SP500@1507| SL:1510| TP1:1500| TP2:1490|2013.02.27 17:40 CET| ScalpSell SL Hit: -3points
Forex Signal No.119|Sell USD/JPY@92.30| SL:92.45| TP1:91.60| TP2:91.11|2013.02.27 14:05 CET| ScalpSell| Closed @ 92.15 +15pips 
Forex Signal No.117|Buy  EUR/GBP@0.8483| SL:0.8433| TP1:0.8710| TP2:0.8820|2013.02.27 12:45 CET|Swing Buy|INVALIDATED
Forex Signal No.116|Buy  USD/CHF@0.9235| SL:0.9223| TP1:.0.9315| TP2:0.9375|2013.02.27 12:35 CET| ScalpBuy | INVALIDATED
Forex Signal No.115|Buy  AUD/USD@1.0135| SL:1.0099| TP1:1.0235| TP2:1.0286|2013.02.27 12:35 CET| ScalpBuy
Forex Signal No.114|Sell AUD/USD@1.0365| SL:1.0375| TP1:1.0300| TP2:1.0266|2013.02.22 13:05 CET| Scalp Sell |INVALIDATED
Forex Signal No.113|Sell EUR/USD@1.3305| SL:1.3325| TP1:1.3250| TP2:1.3201|2013.02.21 08:15 CET| Scalp Sell | TP1 Hit +55pips TP2Hit +105pips
TOTAL: +158pips, -3points
     
Swing:
Forex Signal No.123a|Sell GBP/JPY@140.23| SL:141.36| TP1:137.53|TP2:136.01|2013.02.28 11:20 CET|Swing Sell| SL @ 139.65|+70pips
Forex Signal No.123b|Sell GBP/JPY@140.73| SL:141.36| TP1:137.53|TP2:136.01|2013.02.28 20:00 CET|Swing Sell|SL @ 139.65| +110pips
Forex Signal No.118|Buy  CrudeOil@90.30| SL:89.65| TP1:95.00| TP2:98.00|2013.02.27 12:45 CET|Swing Buy|IN PLAY (currently +50pips)
Forex Signal No.124a|Sell USD/CAD@1.0249| SL:1.0390| TP1:1.0150|TP2:1.0090|2013.02.28 12:05 CET|Swing Sell|     IN PLAY| (currently -30pips_
Forex Signal No.124b|Sell USD/CAD@1.0300| SL:1.0390| TP1:1.0150|TP2:1.0090|2013.02.28 21:30 CET|Swing Sell|     IN PLAY  (currently +25pips)
Total: +180pips

Total this week: +338pips,
                              -3points on SP500


Grand Total since 20.12.2012          +1808pips! 
                                                              0 DAX Points
                                                               -3 SP500 points 
                                                               +$86 Gold

Some of the swing trades are still in play: those are not leveraged trades.

Thanks for another profitable week!

Enjoy the weekend!



Green Pips,
Sebasitan Seliga

 
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