{lang: 'en-US'} July 2012 ~ ElliottFxTrader Blog

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Tuesday, 31 July 2012

AUD/USD H4 Update

Right on target area. SPOT ON!

Good level to short if this is end of cycle.
What do we need to confirm this is really end of cycle? We need impulsive 5 wave structure down from this suspected top. It must break wave Y support and H1 ( and preferably H4) candle close below wave Y. This could be the first clue that top is in.

Seb


EUR/USD H4 Update

One more to the downside to finish wave (b)


Seb


Crude Oil H4 Update

Correction might turn complex.

Seb


GBP/JPY H4 Update

Correction continues.

Seb


USD/CHF H4 Update

So far very simple correction.

Seb


S&P500 SPX E-mini Futures H4 Update

We need wave (v) to the upside to start correction. Might be ending diagonal.

Seb


Sunday, 29 July 2012

Dessert: A Special One - S&P500

"It is all about timming, not price" as G. Lindsay used to say.

Timming details:

Three Peaks last shorten than usual (140 days abot half of normal duration).
From bottom Base spike to recent  corrective  channel high is 210 days.
From bottom Base spike to SHS Top Copula is 123 (about half of normal duration)
From second Base spike to recent corrective channel high is 217 days

Seb


EUR/USD H4 Update

Bears beware.

Seb


EUR/JPY H4 & Daily Update

So far, so good, very nice behaviour.

Seb






DAX Futures Daily Update

Bearish impulsive count has been invalidated. No more Double Zig-Zag possibility. Complex ABC pattern emerging.

Seb

USD/CHF H4 Update


Gold XAUUSD H4 Update

 Looks like my trianlge count is in danger...

Gann line break up does not help as well...

Seb




GBP/JPY H4 Update

This pair is behaving very properly recently.

Seb



GBP/USD H4 Update

Two possible levels to go short.

Seb

Non-Linear regression analysis (128) shows that price hit the resistance so we might expect puulback for now. Higher degree period analysis (256) shows more downside in the future.



S&P500 SPX E-mini Futures H4 & Daily Update

Break through the top would invaldate my bearish view.

Non-Linear regression analysis shows thatwe might be in process of forming domed top and points for more downside in the future.

Seb




AUD/USD Daily & H4 Update

We are very close to finish this correction with two count presented on chart.

ALT. count implies that whole correction is ABC not Double Zig-Zag.

Seb



Thursday, 26 July 2012

EUR/USD H4 Update

We just finished correction.

Seb


Crude Oil H4 Update

Good level for short.

Seb


EUR/JPY H4 Update


NASDAQ Futures Daily Update

Correction might be over for now unless it is complex correction.


Seb




DAX Futures Daily Update

61% Fib Retracement hit.

Beware of sharp wave 3 decline unless this is over oh simple abc correction.

Seb


GBP/JPY H4 Update

Complex correction ahead.

Seb

USD/CHF H4 Update

Firs leg of correction done.

Seb


GBP/USD H4 Update

Looks like if the price will not retrace  from here, then look for 1.59000 to be hit as a possible top.

Seb


S&P500 SPX H4 Update

Simple correction is done.

Tomorrow triger to start wave 3: GDP good number so no QE3 and we got sell off.

Seb


AUD/USD H4 Update

As I said: good level to short now.

Seb




AUD/USD H4 Update

Correction continue to grind higher.

For agrresive shoer You can place an order now to short into 61% FibRetracment or wait for price to fill the gap and short into 1.0400 level with stops above high.


Seb



EUR/USD H4 Update

Will it work?

Seb


EUR/JPY H4 Update

So far, so good.

More upside possible.

Seb


UDF/CHF H4 Update

Triangle breakout possible.

Seb


GBP/JPY H4 Update

Possible Ending Diagonal Forming

Seb


Crude Oil H4 Update

Litte more to the upside to finish the correction.

Seb


S&P500 SPX E-mini Futures H4 Update

So far trend line has been broken and tested.

Notice there is no close above the trend line.

Seb


Gold XAUUSD H4 & Daily Elliott + Gann Update

More downside to be expected aroud this level 1610 but price might hit 100SMA at 1617 before reversing.

Downthrust from triangle is orange rectangle projection.

Gann chart scaled to 176pip/per bar/ per day


Seb




Wednesday, 25 July 2012

EUR/USD H4 Update

Everything is on the chart I guess.

Seb



USD/CHF H4 Update

Wave 3 top is in, choppy correction ahead.

Orange rectangle indicates possible level of wave 4 end.

Seb


AUD/USD H4 Update

Impulse down is over and we waiting for correction to complete about wave 4 green level.

Seb



Tuesday, 24 July 2012

Crude Oil H4 Update

Small correction is over.
More downside to come.

Seb


EUR/USD Hr Update

Bearish View.

Seb


AUD/USD H4 Elliott

Impulse is almost finished, one last down needed.

Seb


 
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